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What Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600241) 58% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

「辽宁时代万恒股份有限公司(SHSE:600241)の株価が58%上昇したことが伝えることのできないこと」

Simply Wall St ·  03/16 20:57

Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600241) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 58% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.3% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600241 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024

How Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd Has Been Performing

For instance, Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 37% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Liaoning Shidai WanhengLtd that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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