Fanli Digital Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600228) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 36% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 11.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Interactive Media and Services industry have P/S ratios below 7.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
SHSE:600228 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024
How Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing
For instance, Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 30%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 31% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
鉴于Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd的价格飙升,考虑到中国互动媒体和服务行业中将近一半的公司的市销率低于7.3倍,你认为Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd是一只值得避开的股票,其市销率(或 “市盈率”)为11.2倍,这是可以原谅的。但是,仅按面值计算市销率是不明智的,因为可以解释其为何如此之高。
SHSE: 600228 对比行业的市销比率 2024 年 3 月 18 日
泛力数码科技有限公司的表现如何
例如,Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd最近收入的下降值得深思。许多人可能预计,在未来一段时间内,该公司的表现仍将超过大多数其他公司,这阻止了市销售率的暴跌。但是,如果不是这样,投资者可能会陷入为股票支付过多费用的困境。
我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以查看我们关于Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd收益、收入和现金流的免费报告,了解最近的趋势如何为公司的未来做好准备。
预计 Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd 的收入增长是否足够?
为了证明其市销率是合理的,Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd需要实现远远超过该行业的出色增长。
有了这些信息,我们发现Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd的市销售率高于该行业。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近所表示的要看涨得多,他们不愿意以任何价格抛售股票。如果市销率降至更符合近期负增长率的水平,现有股东很有可能为未来的失望做好准备。
关键要点
得益于股价的大幅上涨,Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd的市销率在上个月增长良好。仅使用市销率来确定是否应该出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作为公司未来前景的实用指南。
我们已经确定,Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd目前的市销率远高于预期,因为其最近的收入在中期内有所下降。随着投资者认为收入下降,市场情绪恶化的可能性相当高,这可能会使市销售率恢复到我们的预期水平。如果最近的中期收入趋势持续下去,将对现有股东的投资构成重大风险,潜在投资者将很难接受股票的当前价值。