Those holding DuoLun Technology Corporation Ltd. (SHSE:603528) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 49% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 11% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, DuoLun Technology may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has DuoLun Technology Performed Recently?
DuoLun Technology could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think DuoLun Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For DuoLun Technology?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as DuoLun Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.2%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 1.9% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 58% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 25% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that DuoLun Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
DuoLun Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of DuoLun Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for DuoLun Technology (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.