Those holding GuangDong GenSho Logistics Co.,LTD (SHSE:603813) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 26% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD's P/S ratio of 2.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Transportation industry in China is also close to 2.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Has GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 19% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD's P/S Mean For Investors?
GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We find it unexpected that GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You need to take note of risks, for example - GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of GuangDong GenSho LogisticsLTD's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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