Those holding Jiangsu Huahong Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002645) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 41% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Jiangsu Huahong Technology may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
How Has Jiangsu Huahong Technology Performed Recently?
Jiangsu Huahong Technology could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jiangsu Huahong Technology.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Huahong Technology would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 167% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 25% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 28%, which is not materially different.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Jiangsu Huahong Technology's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Jiangsu Huahong Technology's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've seen that Jiangsu Huahong Technology currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Huahong Technology (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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