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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise Co., Ltd (SZSE:000929) After Shares Rise 43%

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 17 21:30

Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise Co., Ltd (SZSE:000929) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 43% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 16% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's P/S ratio of 6.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Beverage industry in China is also close to 6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000929 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024

How Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise Has Been Performing

For instance, Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.4% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 28% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's P/S Mean For Investors?

Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look at Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Having said that, be aware Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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