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Optimistic Investors Push Tus-Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000590) Shares Up 32% But Growth Is Lacking

楽観的な投資家は、Tus-Pharmaceutical Group Co.、Ltd.(SZSE:000590)の株価を32%引き上げますが、成長は不足しています。

Simply Wall St ·  03/18 19:15

Tus-Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000590) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 16% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.4x, you may consider Tus-Pharmaceutical Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000590 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024

How Has Tus-Pharmaceutical Group Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen firmly for Tus-Pharmaceutical Group recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Tus-Pharmaceutical Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tus-Pharmaceutical Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 40% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 45% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Tus-Pharmaceutical Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

The large bounce in Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Tus-Pharmaceutical Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Tus-Pharmaceutical Group that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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