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There's Reason For Concern Over Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy Saving Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:688679) Massive 27% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 18 19:59

Those holding Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy Saving Co.,Ltd (SHSE:688679) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 19% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688679 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd?

Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 31%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 74% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 40% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd's P/E?

Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Anhui Tongyuan Environment Energy SavingLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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