Hanjia Design Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300746) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 43% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, Hanjia Design Group may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Professional Services industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
How Has Hanjia Design Group Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hanjia Design Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Hanjia Design Group will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hanjia Design Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Hanjia Design Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Hanjia Design Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.0% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 95% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Hanjia Design Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price move, Hanjia Design Group's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Hanjia Design Group confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Hanjia Design Group (2 are concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.