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Earnings Not Telling The Story For Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000663) After Shares Rise 26%

福建永安林業(集団)株式会社(SZSE:000663)の株価が26%上昇した後、収益がストーリーを語らない

Simply Wall St ·  03/19 20:19

Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000663) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.7x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 32x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

For example, consider that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000663 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 20th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Growth For Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 74% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 40% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's curious that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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