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Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300904) Shares Climb 46% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 20 20:23

Those holding Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300904) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 46% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 2.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300904 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2024

What Does Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.6%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 87% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's P/S

Shares in Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look into Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology has shown that it currently trades on a higher than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider industry forecast. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology (at least 2 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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