Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for China Risun Group (HKG:1907) Shareholders
Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for China Risun Group (HKG:1907) Shareholders
The subdued market reaction suggests that China Risun Group Limited's (HKG:1907) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.
市場反應疲軟,表明中國旭陽集團有限公司(HKG: 1907)最近的收益沒有任何意外。但是,我們認爲,投資者應注意一些可能令人擔憂的潛在因素。
An Unusual Tax Situation
不尋常的稅收狀況
We can see that China Risun Group received a tax benefit of CN¥308m. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.
我們可以看到,中國旭陽集團獲得了3.08億元人民幣的稅收優惠。這是有意義的,因爲公司通常納稅而不是獲得稅收優惠。當然, 初步證實 能獲得稅收優惠真是太好了。但是,細節上的問題在於,此類福利僅在預訂當年有影響,而且本質上通常是一次性的。假設每年都不重複享受稅收優惠,在其他條件相同的情況下,我們可能會看到其盈利能力明顯下降。儘管我們認爲公司獲得稅收優惠是件好事,但這確實意味着法定利潤很有可能遠高於根據一次性因素調整收入時的法定利潤。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。
Our Take On China Risun Group's Profit Performance
我們對中國旭陽集團盈利表現的看法
As we have already discussed China Risun Group reported that it received a tax benefit, rather than paying tax, in the last year. Given that sort of benefit is not recurring, a focus on the statutory profit might make the company seem better than it really is. Because of this, we think that it may be that China Risun Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing China Risun Group at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in China Risun Group.
正如我們已經討論過的那樣,中國旭陽集團報告稱,去年它獲得了稅收優惠,而不是納稅。鑑於這種好處不是經常性的,專注於法定利潤可能會使公司看起來比實際情況更好。因此,我們認爲可能是中國旭陽集團的法定利潤要好於其基礎盈利能力。另一個壞消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮中國旭陽集團目前面臨的風險同樣重要。爲了幫助解決這個問題,我們發現了 2 個警告信號(1 個令人擔憂!)在購買中國旭陽集團的任何股票之前,您應該注意這一點。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of China Risun Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
這份報告只研究了揭示中國旭陽集團利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。