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Henan Rebecca Hair Products Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600439) 42% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 22 07:05

Henan Rebecca Hair Products Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600439) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 42% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 8.8% isn't as attractive.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Henan Rebecca Hair Products' P/S ratio of 2.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Personal Products industry in China is also close to 3.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600439 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2024

What Does Henan Rebecca Hair Products' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Henan Rebecca Hair Products' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Henan Rebecca Hair Products will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Henan Rebecca Hair Products' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Henan Rebecca Hair Products would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.7%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 22% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Henan Rebecca Hair Products' P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Henan Rebecca Hair Products' P/S Mean For Investors?

Henan Rebecca Hair Products appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Henan Rebecca Hair Products revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Henan Rebecca Hair Products (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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