Those holding Xiamen King Long Motor Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600686) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 24% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Xiamen King Long Motor Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
How Xiamen King Long Motor Group Has Been Performing
Xiamen King Long Motor Group certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Xiamen King Long Motor Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Xiamen King Long Motor Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Xiamen King Long Motor Group?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Xiamen King Long Motor Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 36% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 47% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 27% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Xiamen King Long Motor Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Xiamen King Long Motor Group's P/S
Xiamen King Long Motor Group's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Xiamen King Long Motor Group confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Xiamen King Long Motor Group you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xiamen King Long Motor Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.