Hangzhou Innover Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002767) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.9% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 32x, you may consider Hangzhou Innover Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 58.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Earnings have risen at a steady rate over the last year for Hangzhou Innover Technology, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the reasonable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hangzhou Innover Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Hangzhou Innover Technology's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Hangzhou Innover Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 3.2% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 39% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 40% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hangzhou Innover Technology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Hangzhou Innover Technology's P/E
Shares in Hangzhou Innover Technology have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Hangzhou Innover Technology revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hangzhou Innover Technology you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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