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Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s (SZSE:301389) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear

Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s (SZSE:301389) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear

龙扬电子(昆山)(深圳证券交易所代码:301389)的疲软收益可能比看起来还要糟糕
Simply Wall St ·  03/21 19:54

The market shrugged off Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301389) weak earnings report. While shares were up, we believe there are some factors in the earnings report that might cause investors some concerns.

市场对隆扬电子(昆山)有限公司不屑一顾。”s(深圳证券交易所股票代码:301389)疲软的收益报告。尽管股价上涨,但我们认为收益报告中的一些因素可能会引起投资者的担忧。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301389 Earnings and Revenue History March 21st 2024
SZSE: 301389 2024 年 3 月 21 日的收益和收入历史记录

Zooming In On Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s Earnings

放大隆扬电子(昆山)的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者尚未听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正的应计比率是负数。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往会降低”。

For the year to December 2023, Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) had an accrual ratio of 0.49. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥19m despite its profit of CN¥96.8m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) generated positive FCF of CN¥156m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,隆扬电子(昆山)的应计比率为0.49。通常,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个坏兆头。换句话说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生一点自由现金流。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为9,680万元人民币,但流出量仍为1900万元人民币,如上所述。值得注意的是,隆扬电子(昆山)一年前创造了1.56亿元人民币的正FCF,因此至少他们过去曾这样做过。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥3.8m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

考虑到应计比率,隆扬电子(昆山)在过去十二个月中,价值380万元人民币的不寻常项目提振了利润也就不足为奇了。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额捐款有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。如果隆扬电子(昆山)认为这一贡献不会重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。

Our Take On Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s Profit Performance

我们对隆扬电子(昆山)盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Be aware that Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

总而言之,隆扬电子(昆山)从不寻常的项目中获得了不错的利润提振,但其纸面利润无法与自由现金流相提并论。考虑到所有这些,我们认为隆扬电子(昆山)的利润可能给人一种对其可持续盈利水平的过于宽松的印象。如果您想进一步了解隆扬电子(昆山)作为一家企业,请务必了解其面临的任何风险。请注意,隆扬电子(昆山)在我们的投资分析中显示了3个警告信号,其中一个不容忽视...

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们采取了谨慎的态度。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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