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Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s (SZSE:301389) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 21 19:54

The market shrugged off Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301389) weak earnings report. While shares were up, we believe there are some factors in the earnings report that might cause investors some concerns.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301389 Earnings and Revenue History March 21st 2024

Zooming In On Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to December 2023, Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) had an accrual ratio of 0.49. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥19m despite its profit of CN¥96.8m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) generated positive FCF of CN¥156m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥3.8m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s Profit Performance

Summing up, Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Long Young Electronic (Kunshan)'s profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Be aware that Long Young Electronic (Kunshan) is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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