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Is Zhejiang Talent Television and Film (SZSE:300426) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Zhejiang Talent Television and Film (SZSE:300426) Using Too Much Debt?

浙江天才影视(深交所股票代码:300426)是否使用过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  03/21 22:10

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Zhejiang Talent Television and Film Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300426) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。与许多其他公司一样,浙江天伦影视股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:300426)也使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人的债务,那么债务就任其摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Zhejiang Talent Television and Film's Net Debt?

浙江天才影视的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, Zhejiang Talent Television and Film had CN¥1.72b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥1.84b a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥172.8m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.54b.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,浙江天才影视的债务为17.2亿元人民币,低于去年同期的18.4亿元人民币。另一方面,它拥有1.728亿元的现金,净负债约为15.4亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300426 Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2024
SZSE: 300426 2024 年 3 月 22 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Zhejiang Talent Television and Film's Balance Sheet?

浙江天才影视的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhejiang Talent Television and Film had liabilities of CN¥1.88b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥25.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥172.8m and CN¥372.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.36b.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,浙江天才影视在12个月内到期的负债为18.8亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为2540万元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为1.728亿元人民币,还有价值3.72亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额13.6亿元人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because Zhejiang Talent Television and Film is worth CN¥4.31b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

这种赤字还不错,因为浙江天才影视的市值为43.1亿元人民币,因此,如果有需要,可能会筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但很明显,我们一定要仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.8, it's fair to say Zhejiang Talent Television and Film does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 2.5 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Looking on the bright side, Zhejiang Talent Television and Film boosted its EBIT by a silky 34% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zhejiang Talent Television and Film will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

由于净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率为9.8,可以公平地说,浙江天才影视确实有大量债务。但是,其2.5的利息覆盖率相当强,这是一个好兆头。从好的方面来看,浙江天才影视去年将其息税前利润增长了34%。就像母亲对新生儿的深情拥抱一样,这种成长可以增强韧性,使公司在管理债务方面处于更有利的地位。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为浙江天才影视需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Zhejiang Talent Television and Film recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。从最近两年来看,浙江天才影视录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的40%,低于我们的预期。这种疲软的现金转换使得处理债务变得更加困难。

Our View

我们的观点

Zhejiang Talent Television and Film's net debt to EBITDA was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Zhejiang Talent Television and Film's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Talent Television and Film you should know about.

尽管我们考虑的其他因素要好得多,但根据该分析,浙江天才影视的净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例确实是负面的。毫无疑问,其增长息税前利润的能力非常闪烁。纵观所有这些数据,我们对浙江天才影视的债务水平感到有些谨慎。尽管我们意识到债务可以提高股本回报率,但我们建议股东密切关注其债务水平,以免债务增加。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了两个你应该知道的浙江天才影视的警告标志。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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