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Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603499) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603499) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

上海日光包裝科技股份有限公司, Ltd(SHSE: 603499)的財務狀況太模糊了,無法與當前的股價勢頭聯繫起來:該股將面臨什麼?
Simply Wall St ·  03/24 20:28

Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603499) stock is up by a considerable 116% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's ROE.

上海陽光包裝技術有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603499)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了116%。但是,我們想知道該公司財務狀況不穩定是否會對當前的股價勢頭產生任何不利影響。在這篇文章中,我們決定重點關注上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的投資回報率爲:

4.7% = CN¥30m ÷ CN¥637m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.7% = 3000萬元人民幣 ÷ 6.37億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。將其概念化的一種方法是,每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,公司的利潤爲0.05元人民幣。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.7% ROE

上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的收益增長和4.7%的投資回報率

It is quite clear that Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's ROE is rather low. An industry comparison shows that the company's ROE is not much different from the industry average of 5.0% either. Given the low ROE Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's five year net income decline of 43% is not surprising.

很明顯,上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的投資回報率相當低。行業比較顯示,該公司的投資回報率也與行業平均水平的5.0%沒有太大區別。鑑於投資回報率較低,上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的五年淨收入下降了43%,這並不奇怪。

That being said, we compared Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 3.9% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的業績與行業進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在同期5年內以3.9%的速度增長了收益時,我們對此感到擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603499 Past Earnings Growth March 25th 2024
SHSE: 603499 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 25 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。如果你想知道上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的估值,可以看看這個衡量其與行業相比的市盈率指標。

Is Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海陽光包裝科技有限公司是否有效地將利潤再投資?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 43% (that is, a retention ratio of 57%), the fact that Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

儘管正常的三年派息率中位數爲43%(即留存率爲57%),但上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的收益萎縮這一事實令人費解。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

Moreover, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,上海陽光包裝科技有限公司已經派發了六年的股息,這是相當長的時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到,儘管收益一直在萎縮,但股東更喜歡持續的分紅。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd.

總的來說,我們對上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的表現有點矛盾。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲上海陽光包裝科技有限公司確定的三種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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