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Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002892) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002892) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

科利汽车集团有限公司's (SZSE: 002892) 一直在上涨,但财务前景看起来疲软:股票定价过高了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/25 19:33

Keli Motor Group's (SZSE:002892) stock is up by a considerable 20% over the past month. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study Keli Motor Group's ROE in this article.

科利汽车集团(深圳证券交易所:002892)的股票在过去一个月中上涨了20%。但是,我们想仔细研究其关键财务指标,因为市场通常会为长期基本面买单,在这种情况下,它们看起来并不十分乐观。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究科利汽车集团的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Keli Motor Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,科利汽车集团的投资回报率为:

4.6% = CN¥59m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.6% = 5900万元人民币 ¥13亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。将其概念化的一种方法是,公司每拥有1元人民币的股东资本,就能获得0.05元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效利润创造指标。我们现在需要评估公司为未来增长再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润,这样我们就可以了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他一切都保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Keli Motor Group's Earnings Growth And 4.6% ROE

凯利汽车集团的收益增长和4.6%的投资回报率

As you can see, Keli Motor Group's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.2%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, Keli Motor Group's flat earnings over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.

如您所见,科利汽车集团的投资回报率看起来相当疲软。不仅如此,即使与7.2%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。因此,科利汽车集团在过去五年中收益持平可以用投资回报率低等因素来解释。

As a next step, we compared Keli Motor Group's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 14% in the same period.

下一步,我们将科利汽车集团的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,并失望地看到该公司的增长低于同期14%的行业平均增长。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002892 Past Earnings Growth March 25th 2024
SZSE: 002892 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 25 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Keli Motor Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查一下与其行业相比,科利汽车集团的市盈率是高还是低。

Is Keli Motor Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

科利汽车集团是否有效地将其利润再投资?

Keli Motor Group has a high three-year median payout ratio of 66% (or a retention ratio of 34%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

凯利汽车集团的三年派息率中位数很高,为66%(或34%的留存率),这意味着该公司将大部分利润作为股息支付给股东。这确实在某种程度上解释了为什么其收益没有增长。

Moreover, Keli Motor Group has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,凯利汽车集团已经派发股息六年了,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Keli Motor Group. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into Keli Motor Group's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

总的来说,在决定任何与凯利汽车集团有关的投资行动之前,我们会经过深思熟虑。由于该公司对业务的再投资不多,而且鉴于投资回报率低,其收益缺乏或没有增长也就不足为奇了。到目前为止,我们仅就公司的收益增长进行了简短的讨论。要进一步了解科利汽车集团过去的利润增长,请查看这份过去收益、收入和现金流的可视化图表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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