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Are Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000828) Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market?

Are Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000828) Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market?

是東莞發展(控股)有限公司's (SZSE: 000828) 財務狀況喜憂參半股市表現不佳的原因?
Simply Wall St ·  03/26 00:24

With its stock down 5.9% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Dongguan Development (Holdings) (SZSE:000828). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. Specifically, we decided to study Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s ROE in this article.

東莞發展(控股)(深交所股票代碼:000828)在過去三個月中下跌了5.9%,很容易被忽視。但是,我們決定研究公司的財務狀況,以確定它們是否與價格下跌有關。長期基本面通常是推動市場結果的因素,因此值得密切關注。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究東莞發展(控股)的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dongguan Development (Holdings) is:

因此,根據上述公式,東莞發展(控股)的投資回報率爲:

5.4% = CN¥853m ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

5.4% = 8.53億元人民幣 ÷ 160億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.05.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。因此,這意味着其股東每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.05元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s Earnings Growth And 5.4% ROE

東莞發展(控股)的收益增長和5.4%的投資回報率

At first glance, Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.6%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But Dongguan Development (Holdings) saw a five year net income decline of 5.4% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,東莞發展(控股)的投資回報率看起來並不十分樂觀。但是,其投資回報率與行業平均水平的5.6%相似,因此我們不會完全解散該公司。但是東莞發展(控股)在過去五年中五年淨收入下降了5.4%。請記住,公司的投資回報率一開始有點低。因此,這在某種程度上解釋了收益的萎縮。

So, as a next step, we compared Dongguan Development (Holdings)'s performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 3.8% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我們將東莞發展(控股)的表現與行業進行了比較,失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在縮減收益,但該行業在過去幾年中一直以3.8%的速度增長。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000828 Past Earnings Growth March 26th 2024
SZSE: 000828 過去的收益增長 2024年3月26日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Dongguan Development (Holdings) fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。與其他公司相比,東莞發展(控股)的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Dongguan Development (Holdings) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

東莞發展(控股)是否在有效利用其利潤?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (where it is retaining 68% of its profits), Dongguan Development (Holdings) has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管東莞發展(控股)的三年派息率中位數正常爲32%(保留了68%的利潤),但如上所示,東莞發展(控股)的收益卻有所下降。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。

Additionally, Dongguan Development (Holdings) has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,東莞發展(控股)已在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着即使收益增長微乎其微,公司的管理層也決心派發股息。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Dongguan Development (Holdings) can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Dongguan Development (Holdings) by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總的來說,我們認爲東莞發展(控股)的表現可以有多種解讀。儘管該公司的利潤保留率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能會阻礙其收益增長。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。您可以訪問我們的 4 種東莞發展(控股)風險 風險儀表板 在我們的平台上免費使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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