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Some Zangge Mining Company Limited (SZSE:000408) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

Some Zangge Mining Company Limited (SZSE:000408) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

一些藏格矿业有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000408)分析师刚刚大幅下调了明年的预期
Simply Wall St ·  03/26 19:45

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Zangge Mining Company Limited (SZSE:000408), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.

分析师的最新报道可能预示着藏格矿业有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000408)将迎来糟糕的一天,分析师全面下调了法定估计,这可能会让股东感到震惊。收入和每股收益(EPS)的预测都出现了偏差,这表明分析师对该业务的表现主要不佳。

After the downgrade, the consensus from Zangge Mining's four analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.4b in 2024, which would reflect a painful 35% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to tumble 28% to CN¥1.56 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥6.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.68 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a sizeable cut to revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.

下调评级后,藏格矿业的四位分析师一致认为,2024年的收入为34亿元人民币,这将反映出与去年业绩相比销售额下降了35%的惨痛。同期,法定每股收益预计将下降28%,至1.56元人民币。在本次更新之前,分析师一直预测2024年的收入为61亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为2.68元人民币。看来分析师的情绪已大幅下降,收入预期大幅下调,每股收益数字也严重下降。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000408 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 26th 2024
SZSE: 000408 2024年3月26日收益和收入增长

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 35% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 31% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 17% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Zangge Mining is expected to lag the wider industry.

当然,看待这些预测的另一种方法是将它们与行业本身联系起来。这些估计表明,预计销售将放缓,预计到2024年底,年化收入将下降35%。这表明与过去五年的31%的年增长率相比大幅下降。相比之下,我们的数据表明,总体而言,同一行业的其他公司的收入预计每年将增长17%。因此,尽管预计其收入将萎缩,但这种阴云并没有带来一线希望——预计Zangge Mining将落后于整个行业。

The Bottom Line

底线

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Zangge Mining. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Zangge Mining's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After a cut like that, investors could be forgiven for thinking analysts are a lot more bearish on Zangge Mining, and a few readers might choose to steer clear of the stock.

新估计中最大的问题是,分析师下调了每股收益预期,这表明Zangge Mining面临业务不利因素。不幸的是,分析师也下调了收入预期,行业数据表明,预计Zangge Mining的收入增长将低于整个市场。在这样的下调之后,投资者认为分析师对藏格矿业更加看跌是可以原谅的,一些读者可能会选择避开该股。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Zangge Mining analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。根据多位Zangge Mining分析师的估计,到2026年,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

当然,看到公司管理层将大量资金投资于股票与了解分析师是否在下调预期一样有用。因此,您可能还希望搜索这份内部人士正在购买的免费股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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