These 4 Measures Indicate That Easyhome New Retail Group (SZSE:000785) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That Easyhome New Retail Group (SZSE:000785) Is Using Debt Extensively
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Easyhome New Retail Group Corporation Limited (SZSE:000785) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,居然之家新零售集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000785)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
How Much Debt Does Easyhome New Retail Group Carry?
居然之家新零售集團揹負了多少債務?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Easyhome New Retail Group had CN¥7.23b of debt, up from CN¥6.36b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥2.95b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥4.28b.
如下所示,截至2023年9月底,居然之家新零售集團的債務爲72.3億元人民幣,高於去年同期的63.6億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它也有29.5億加元的現金,因此其淨負債爲42.8億元人民幣。
How Strong Is Easyhome New Retail Group's Balance Sheet?
居然之家新零售集團的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Easyhome New Retail Group had liabilities of CN¥9.39b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥23.5b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.95b in cash and CN¥2.18b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥27.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,居然之家新零售集團的負債爲93.9億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲235億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有29.5億加元的現金和21.8億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出278億元人民幣。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥18.0b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Easyhome New Retail Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
這裏的缺陷嚴重影響了這家180億元人民幣的公司本身,就好像一個孩子在裝滿書本、運動裝備和喇叭的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,我們絕對認爲股東需要密切關注這個問題。畢竟,如果居然之家新零售集團今天必須向債權人付款,則可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。
Easyhome New Retail Group's net debt of 1.5 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 9.1 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Easyhome New Retail Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 35% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Easyhome New Retail Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
居然之家新零售集團的淨負債爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的1.5倍,這表明債務的合理使用。而且,其過去十二個月的息稅前利潤是其利息支出的9.1倍,這一事實與這一主題一致。如果管理層無法阻止去年再次削減35%的息稅前利潤,那麼其適度的債務負擔可能對居然之家新零售集團至關重要。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益將決定居然之家新零售集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Easyhome New Retail Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 89% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,值得檢查一下息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去三年中,居然之家新零售集團產生的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的89%,超出了我們的預期。如果需要的話,這有利於償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
To be frank both Easyhome New Retail Group's level of total liabilities and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Easyhome New Retail Group's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Easyhome New Retail Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
坦率地說,居然之家新零售集團的總負債水平以及其(不)增長息稅前利潤的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但至少在將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流方面相當不錯;這令人鼓舞。從大局來看,我們似乎很清楚居然之家新零售集團使用債務給公司帶來了風險。如果一切順利,可能會得到回報,但這筆債務的不利之處是永久損失的風險更大。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向居然之家新零售集團確定了3個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。