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Investors in COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (HKG:1919) Have Seen Massive Returns of 457% Over the Past Five Years

Investors in COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (HKG:1919) Have Seen Massive Returns of 457% Over the Past Five Years

在过去五年中,中远海运控股(HKG: 1919)的投资者获得了457%的巨额回报
Simply Wall St ·  03/26 20:52

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. Long term COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. (HKG:1919) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 203% in five years. In contrast, the stock has fallen 9.3% in the last 30 days. We note that the broader market is down 0.5% in the last month, and this may have impacted COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' share price.

任何股票(假设你不使用杠杆)的最大损失是你的资金的100%。但简而言之,一家好的公司的股价可以上涨超过100%。中远海运控股有限公司(HKG: 1919)的长期股东会意识到这一点,因为该股在五年内上涨了203%。相比之下,该股在过去30天中下跌了9.3%。我们注意到,上个月整体市场下跌了0.5%,这可能影响了中远海运控股的股价。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,让我们调查一下,看看公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的进展一致。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Over half a decade, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings managed to grow its earnings per share at 107% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 25% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 3.42.

在过去的五年中,中远海运控股成功地将其每股收益增长到每年107%。每股收益的增长高于股价25%的平均年增长率。因此,市场似乎对该公司变得相对悲观。这种谨慎的情绪反映在其(相当低的)市盈率3.42上。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1919 Earnings Per Share Growth March 27th 2024
SEHK: 1919 每股收益增长 2024 年 3 月 27 日

It is of course excellent to see how COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling COSCO SHIPPING Holdings stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

看到中远海运控股多年来如何增长利润当然是件好事,但未来对股东来说更为重要。如果您正在考虑买入或卖出中远海运控股的股票,则应查看其资产负债表上的这份免费详细报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings' TSR for the last 5 years was 457%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,中远海运控股在过去5年的股东总回报率为457%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 14% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. However, that falls short of the 41% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

很高兴看到中远海运控股在过去十二个月中向股东提供了14%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。但是,这低于其在五年内每年为股东创造的41%的股东总回报率。潜在买家可能会觉得他们错过了机会,这是可以理解的,但业务总是有可能全力以赴的。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,冒险吧——中远海运控股有3个警告信号(其中一个可能很严重),我们认为你应该知道。

Of course COSCO SHIPPING Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,中远海运控股可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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