The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd (SZSE:300377) Stock Falls a Further 13% in Past Week
The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd (SZSE:300377) Stock Falls a Further 13% in Past Week
Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But that doesn't mean long term investors can avoid big losses. Zooming in on an example, the Shenzhen Ysstech Info-Tech Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300377) share price dropped 62% in the last half decade. That's an unpleasant experience for long term holders. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 40% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 20% in the last three months.
一般而言,長期投資是必經之路。但這並不意味着長期投資者可以避免巨額損失。放大一個例子,深圳Ysstech Info-Tech Co., Ltd(深圳證券交易所代碼:300377)的股價在過去五年中下跌了62%。對於長揸者來說,這是一種不愉快的經歷。一些最近的買家可能也感到擔憂,該股去年下跌了40%。最近跌勢加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了20%。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 24% each year. The share price decline of 17% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 71.29 suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.
在股價下跌的五年中,深圳Ysstech Info-TechLTD的每股收益(EPS)每年下降24%。股價每年下跌17%,沒有每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。因此,市場此前可能曾預計會下跌,否則預計情況會有所改善。71.29的高市盈率表明股東認爲未來幾年收益將增長。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片發現確切的值)。
This free interactive report on Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果你想進一步調查該股,這份關於深圳Ysstech Info-TechLTD的收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was -59%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,深圳Ysstech Info-TechLtd在過去5年的股東回報率爲-59%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market lost about 13% in the twelve months, Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 39% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約13%,但深圳Ysstech Info-TechLTD的股東表現甚至更糟,損失了39%(甚至包括股息)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨10%的總虧損。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現了 Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd 的 4 個警告標誌(2 個令人擔憂!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。
But note: Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:深圳Ysstech Info-TechLtd可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。