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Earnings Miss: Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 32% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Earnings Miss: Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 32% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

收益不佳:Bestechnic(上海)有限公司每股收益下降了32%,分析师正在修改预测
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 19:49

Last week, you might have seen that Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688608) released its annual result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.2% to CN¥106 in the past week. Revenue of CN¥2.2b surpassed estimates by 2.2%, although statutory earnings per share missed badly, coming in 32% below expectations at CN¥1.02 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

上周,你可能已经看到百事达(上海)有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:688608)向市场发布了年度业绩。早期的反应并不乐观,过去一周股价下跌4.2%,至106元人民币。22亿元人民币的收入比预期高出2.2%,尽管每股法定收益严重不佳,比预期低32%,为每股1.02元人民币。对于投资者来说,盈利是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的业绩,查看分析师对明年的预测,看看对公司的情绪是否发生了变化。考虑到这一点,我们收集了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师对明年的预期。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:688608 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 29th 2024
SHSE: 688608 收益和收入增长 2024 年 3 月 29 日

After the latest results, the seven analysts covering Bestechnic (Shanghai) are now predicting revenues of CN¥2.78b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a huge 28% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 138% to CN¥2.46. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥2.83b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.59 in 2024. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

根据最新业绩,报道Bestechnic(上海)的七位分析师现在预测2024年的收入为27.8亿元人民币。如果得到满足,这将反映出与过去12个月相比收入大幅增长28%。预计每股法定收益将增长138%,至2.46元人民币。在本报告发布之前,分析师一直在模拟2024年的收入为28.3亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为2.59元人民币。因此,在最近的业绩公布之后,整体情绪似乎略有下降——收入估计没有重大变化,但分析师的每股收益预测确实略有下降。

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target fell 9.1% to CN¥131, with the analysts clearly linking lower forecast earnings to the performance of the stock price. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Bestechnic (Shanghai), with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥178 and the most bearish at CN¥97.00 per share. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

得知共识目标股价下跌9.1%至131元人民币可能会令人惊讶,分析师明确将较低的预测收益与股价表现联系起来。但是,还有另一种思考价格目标的方法,那就是研究分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为范围广泛的估计可能表明,对业务可能的结果有不同的看法。对Bestechnic(上海)的看法有所不同,最看涨的分析师将其估值为178元人民币,最看跌的为每股97.00元人民币。注意到分析师目标股价的巨大差距了吗?对我们来说,这意味着基础业务存在相当广泛的可能情景。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s growth to accelerate, with the forecast 28% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 23% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 23% annually. Bestechnic (Shanghai) is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

我们可以从大局的角度看待这些估计值的另一种方式,例如预测如何与过去的表现相提并论,以及预测相对于业内其他公司是否或多或少看涨。分析师肯定预计Bestechnic(上海)的增长将加速,预计到2024年底的年化增长率为28%,而过去五年的历史年增长率为23%。相比之下,同行业的其他公司预计收入每年将增长23%。预计Bestechnic(上海)的增长速度将与其行业大致相同,因此目前尚不清楚我们能否从其相对于竞争对手的增长中得出任何结论。

The Bottom Line

底线

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Bestechnic (Shanghai). Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s future valuation.

最大的担忧是,分析师下调了每股收益预期,这表明Bestechnic(上海)可能会面临业务不利因素。令人高兴的是,收入预测没有实际变化,预计该业务仍将与整个行业保持一致。共识目标股价大幅下降,分析师似乎没有对最新结果感到放心,导致对Bestechnic(上海)未来估值的估计降低。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Bestechnic (Shanghai) going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考虑到这一点,我们仍然认为该业务的长期发展轨迹对于投资者来说更为重要。我们对Bestechnic(上海)的预测将持续到2026年,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Bestechnic (Shanghai) that you should be aware of.

但是,在你变得太热情之前,我们已经发现了Bestechnic(上海)的两个警告标志,你应该注意这一点。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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