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HK$0.56: That's What Analysts Think Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (HKG:1033) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

HK$0.56: That's What Analysts Think Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (HKG:1033) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

0.56港元:這就是分析師認爲中石化油田服務公司(HKG: 1033)公佈最新業績後的價值
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 20:01

Shareholders might have noticed that Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (HKG:1033) filed its annual result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.1% to HK$0.47 in the past week. It was an okay result overall, with revenues coming in at CN¥80b, roughly what the analysts had been expecting. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

股東們可能已經注意到,石化油服於上週同期公佈了其年度業績報告。然而,股價上週下跌了4.1%,至0.47港元。總體而言,業績報告還算不錯,營業收入達到了800億元人民幣,大致符合分析師的預期。這是投資者的重要時期,他們可以在報告中追蹤公司的業績,查看專家對明年的預測,以及查看業務預期是否有任何變化。我們認爲讀者會發現有趣的是看到分析師對明年的最新盈利預測(法定)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1033 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 30th 2024
SEHK:1033於2024年3月30日的盈利和營業收入增長

Following the latest results, Sinopec Oilfield Service's twin analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥86.7b in 2024. This would be a meaningful 8.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to plummet 27% to CN¥0.023 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥85.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.024 in 2024. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

根據最新業績,石化油服的兩位分析師現在預測在2024年的營業收入將達到867億元人民幣。相比過去12個月的營業收入,該預測將實現8.4%的增長。同期法定每股收益預計將大幅下降27%,至0.023元人民幣。在此報告之前,分析師們一直在預測2024年的營業收入爲855億元人民幣、每股收益爲0.024元人民幣。最新業績表明,分析師在本年度的每股收益預期中略微悲觀,導致了預期中的小幅下降。

The average price target fell 19% to HK$0.56, with reduced earnings forecasts clearly tied to a lower valuation estimate.

平均目標價下跌了19%,價格預測的下降顯然與更低的估值有關。

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Sinopec Oilfield Service's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Sinopec Oilfield Service's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 8.4% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 4.3% p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 9.3% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Sinopec Oilfield Service is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

這些預測很有趣,但看到預測與石化油服過去的表現以及同行業內的同行業公司相比較時,更普遍的還需考慮一些因素。從最新的預測來看,石化油服的增長速度有望明顯加快,預計到2024年結束時年平均增長率將達到8.4%,比過去五年的歷史增長率4.3%快了很多。行業內其他類似公司(有分析師覆蓋)也預計將以每年9.3%的速度增長其營收。考慮到營業收入的預期加速增長,可以清楚地看出,石化油服預計將以與整個行業基本相同的速度增長。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Sinopec Oilfield Service. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

最大的問題是分析師降低了每股收益預期,這表明石化油服可能面臨業務上的挑戰。他們也重新確認了收入預測,預測該公司將以與整個行業基本相同的速度增長。此外,分析師還下調了價格目標,表明最新消息已經導致對於該業務內在價值的悲觀情緒加劇。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Sinopec Oilfield Service going out as far as 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年更爲重要。我們對石化油服的分析師預測可持續到2026年,你可以免費在我們的平台上看到。

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Sinopec Oilfield Service that you need to take into consideration.

值得注意的是,我們已經發現1個需要考慮的石化油服的警示信號。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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