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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Yunnan Energy Investment's (SZSE:002053) Earnings

雲南能源投資(SZSE:002053)の収益性には根本的な問題があるかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  04/03 19:46

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Yunnan Energy Investment Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002053) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002053 Earnings and Revenue History April 3rd 2024

Zooming In On Yunnan Energy Investment's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Yunnan Energy Investment has an accrual ratio of 0.30 for the year to December 2023. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥482.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥2.6b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥2.6b, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yunnan Energy Investment.

Our Take On Yunnan Energy Investment's Profit Performance

Yunnan Energy Investment's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Yunnan Energy Investment's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Yunnan Energy Investment and you'll want to know about these bad boys.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Yunnan Energy Investment's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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