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Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's (SHSE:603682) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively

Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's (SHSE:603682) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively

保守地考虑了上海金联商业管理有限公司(SHSE: 603682)的稳健收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/05 18:16

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Shanghai Golden Union Commercial Management Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603682) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

上海金联商业管理有限公司上周公布的财报似乎令市场不知所措。,Ltd.(上海证券交易所股票代码:603682),尽管数字良好。我们进行了一些分析以找出原因,并认为投资者可能遗漏了收益中包含的一些令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603682 Earnings and Revenue History April 5th 2024
SHSE: 603682 2024 年 4 月 5 日的收益和收入历史记录

Zooming In On Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's Earnings

放大上海金联商业管理有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.62 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥644m, well over the CN¥98.8m it reported in profit. Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,上海金联商业管理有限公司的应计比率为-0.62。这表明其自由现金流大大超过了其法定利润。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为6.44亿元人民币,远远超过其公布的9,880万元人民币的利润。上海金联商业管理有限公司的自由现金流比去年有所改善,总体而言,这是值得期待的。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海金联商业管理有限公司的资产负债表分析

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥56m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

尽管应计比率可能是个好兆头,但我们还注意到,在过去的十二个月中,价值5600万元人民币的不寻常项目提振了上海金联商业管理有限公司的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。我们可以看到,截至2023年12月的一年中,上海金联商业管理有限公司的正面不寻常项目与其利润相比相当可观。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的不良指导。

Our Take On Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's Profit Performance

我们对上海金联商业管理有限公司盈利表现的看法

Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. After taking into account all these factors, we think that Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's statutory results are a decent reflection of its underlying earnings power. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of these bad boys shouldn't be ignored.

上海金联商业管理有限公司的利润因不寻常的项目而得到提振,这表明这些利润可能无法持续下去,但其应计比率仍然显示出稳健的现金转换,这令人鼓舞。考虑到所有这些因素后,我们认为上海金联商业管理有限公司的法定业绩很好地反映了其潜在的盈利能力。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的上海金联商业管理有限公司的3个警告信号,其中一个不容忽视。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,以此作为企业的指南。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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