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Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding's (SZSE:002471) Shareholders Should Assess Earnings With Caution

Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding's (SZSE:002471) Shareholders Should Assess Earnings With Caution

江蘇中超控股(深圳證券交易所:002471)的股東應謹慎評估收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/05 18:56

Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002471) recently released a strong earnings report, and the market responded by raising the share price. While the headline numbers were strong, we found some underlying problems once we started looking at what drove earnings.

江蘇中超控股有限公司(SZSE:002471)最近發佈了一份強勁的業績,市場的回應是提高了股價。儘管標題數據強勁,但當我們開始研究推動收益的因素後,我們發現了一些潛在的問題。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002471 Earnings and Revenue History April 5th 2024
SZSE: 002471 2024 年 4 月 5 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding issued 8.0% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding's EPS by clicking here.

評估收益質量的一個重要方面是研究一家公司在多大程度上稀釋了股東。碰巧的是,江蘇中超控股發行的新股比去年增加了8.0%。這意味着其收益將分配給更多的股票。在不注意每股收益的情況下談論淨收益,就是被大數字分散注意力,而忽略與之交談的較小數字 每股 價值。您可以點擊此處查看江蘇中超控股的每股收益圖表。

How Is Dilution Impacting Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀釋如何影響江蘇中超控股的每股收益(EPS)?

As it happens, we don't know how much the company made or lost three years ago, because we don't have the data. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.

碰巧的是,我們不知道該公司三年前賺了多少或損失了多少,因爲我們沒有數據。放眼去年,我們仍然無法連貫地談論增長率,因爲去年增長率出現虧損。我們所知道的是,儘管在過去十二個月中看到盈利是件好事,但如果公司不需要發行股票,按每股計算,這種利潤本來會更好。因此,你可以看到稀釋對股東產生了一些影響。

If Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

如果江蘇中超控股的每股收益能夠隨着時間的推移而增長,那麼這將大大提高股價朝着同一方向移動的機會。但是,如果其利潤增加而每股收益保持不變(甚至下降),那麼股東可能看不到太多好處。對於普通零售股東來說,每股收益是檢查您假設的公司利潤 “份額” 的好方法。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對江蘇中超控股的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥277m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

除了這種稀釋外,還需要注意的是,在過去的十二個月中,江蘇中超控股的利潤是由價值2.77億元人民幣的不尋常項目提振的。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。這正如你所預料的那樣,因爲這些增強被描述爲 “不尋常”。我們可以看到,相對於截至2023年12月的一年中,江蘇中超控股的積極不尋常項目相對於其利潤相當可觀。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯高於原來的水平。

Our Take On Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding's Profit Performance

我們對江蘇中超控股盈利表現的看法

To sum it all up, Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Jiangsu Zhongchao Holding (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

綜上所述,江蘇中超控股從不尋常的項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振;如果沒有這一點,其法定業績就會變得更糟。最重要的是,稀釋意味着其每股收益表現不如其盈利表現。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼江蘇中超控股的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比基礎層面的實際利潤要好。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。當我們進行研究時,我們發現了江蘇中超控股的4個警告標誌(1個有點不愉快!)我們認爲值得你全神貫注。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多值得發現的地方。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。儘管可能需要代表你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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