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Tongdao Liepin Group's (HKG:6100) 32% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

同道猟聘グループ(HKG:6100)の株価が32%下落すると、一定のリスクを示す可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  04/05 19:53

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Tongdao Liepin Group (HKG:6100) share price has dived 32% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 75% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Tongdao Liepin Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Interactive Media and Services industry is similar at about 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:6100 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 5th 2024

How Has Tongdao Liepin Group Performed Recently?

Tongdao Liepin Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tongdao Liepin Group.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tongdao Liepin Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Tongdao Liepin Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 22% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.9% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 10% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Tongdao Liepin Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Tongdao Liepin Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Tongdao Liepin Group looks to be in line with the rest of the Interactive Media and Services industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

When you consider that Tongdao Liepin Group's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Tongdao Liepin Group has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Tongdao Liepin Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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