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Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301282) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 5 19:55

The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Camelot Electronics Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301282), despite the profit numbers being soft. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301282 Earnings and Revenue History April 5th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2023, Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.20. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥190m despite its profit of CN¥42.4m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥190m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥18m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. If you want to do dive deeper into Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Camelot Electronics TechnologyLtd has 4 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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