China Healthwise Holdings Limited (HKG:348) shares have had a horrible month, losing 38% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 76% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think China Healthwise Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Leisure industry is similar at about 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
SEHK:348 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 8th 2024
What Does China Healthwise Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
The recent revenue growth at China Healthwise Holdings would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Healthwise Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is China Healthwise Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like China Healthwise Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.0%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 6.1% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 4.4% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that China Healthwise Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Following China Healthwise Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of China Healthwise Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with China Healthwise Holdings, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.