Hangjin Technology's (SZSE:000818) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Hangjin Technology's (SZSE:000818) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Hangjin Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000818 ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. Our analysis showed that there are some concerning factors in the earnings that investors may be cautious of.
航錦科技有限公司's(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000818)在公佈了一些健康的收益後,該股並未上漲。我們的分析表明,收益中存在一些令人擔憂的因素,投資者可能會謹慎行事。
Examining Cashflow Against Hangjin Technology's Earnings
將現金流與航錦科技的收益進行對比
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。
Over the twelve months to March 2024, Hangjin Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.28. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥1.0b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥166.2m. We saw that FCF was CN¥160m a year ago though, so Hangjin Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for Hangjin Technology shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,航錦科技的應計比率爲0.28。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲10億元人民幣,而上述利潤爲1.662億元人民幣。但是,我們看到一年前的FCF爲1.6億元人民幣,因此航錦科技過去至少能夠產生正的FCF。對航錦科技股東來說,一個積極因素是,去年的應計比率明顯改善,這使人們有理由相信其未來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。因此,一些股東可能希望在本年度實現更強的現金轉換。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hangjin Technology.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對航錦科技的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Hangjin Technology's Profit Performance
我們對航錦科技盈利表現的看法
Hangjin Technology didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Hangjin Technology's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. The good news is that its earnings per share increased slightly in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Hangjin Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
去年,航錦科技沒有將其大部分利潤轉化爲自由現金流,一些投資者可能認爲這種情況相當不理想。因此,在我們看來,航錦科技的真正潛在盈利能力實際上可能低於其法定利潤。好消息是,其每股收益在去年略有增長。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。在投資風險方面,我們已經確定了航錦科技的兩個警告信號,了解這些信號應該是您投資過程的一部分。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hangjin Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
今天,我們放大了單一數據點,以更好地了解航錦科技利潤的性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。