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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600070) Shares After Tumbling 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 11 19:11

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600070) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 74% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, you may still consider Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 5.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600070 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 11th 2024

How Has Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology Performed Recently?

For instance, Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 34%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 95% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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