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What Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301238) 28% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 12 18:34

Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301238) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials' P/E ratio of 30.4x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 31x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

For instance, Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301238 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 12th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 44% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 44% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials' P/E?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials' P/E is also back up to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Ruitai New Energy Materials that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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