GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603058) just released a solid earnings report, and the stock displayed some strength. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.
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Zooming In On GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to March 2024, GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.32. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥279m despite its profit of CN¥109.7m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥59m a year ago though, so GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd.
Our Take On GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's Profit Performance
GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 21% EPS growth in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd has 3 warning signs (2 make us uncomfortable!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.