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Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's (SZSE:300507) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's (SZSE:300507) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科技(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:300507)的股東需要擔心的不僅僅是疲軟的收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/16 19:57

Last week's earnings announcement from Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300507) was disappointing to investors, with a sluggish profit figure. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.

江蘇奧利弗傳感高科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300507)上週的業績公告令投資者失望,盈利數字低迷。我們進行了進一步的挖掘,認爲除了法定利潤外,他們還有其他一些值得關注的理由。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300507 Earnings and Revenue History April 16th 2024
SZSE: 300507 2024 年 4 月 16 日的收益和收入記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's Earnings

根據江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科技的收益檢查現金流

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

For the year to December 2023, Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech had an accrual ratio of 0.22. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥103m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥123.9m. It's worth noting that Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech generated positive FCF of CN¥68m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科的應計比率爲0.22。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲1.03億元人民幣,而上述利潤爲1.239億元人民幣。值得注意的是,江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科技一年前創造了6800萬元人民幣的正FCF,因此至少他們過去曾這樣做過。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科技的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥9.6m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考慮到應計比率,在過去的十二個月中,江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科的利潤因價值960萬元人民幣的不尋常項目而提振也就不足爲奇了。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。假設這些不尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,因此我們預計明年的利潤將疲軟(也就是說,在業務沒有增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's Profit Performance

我們對江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科技盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech at this point in time. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech (1 can't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these bad boys before investing.

總而言之,江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科從不尋常的物品中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但其紙面利潤無法與自由現金流相提並論。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科技目前面臨的風險同樣重要。我們的分析顯示江蘇奧利弗傳感器高科有3個警告信號(1個不容忽視!)我們強烈建議你在投資之前先看看這些壞孩子。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,我們採取了謹慎的態度。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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