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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:002750) Cash Burn Situation

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 17 18:20

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002750) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

How Long Is Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. In September 2023, Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical had CN¥347m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥65m. Therefore, from September 2023 it had 5.4 years of cash runway. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002750 Debt to Equity History April 17th 2024

How Well Is Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical Growing?

Notably, Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 101%, signifying heavy investment in the business. And that is all the more of a concern in light of the fact that operating revenue was actually down by 57% in the last year, as the company no doubt scrambles to change its fortunes. In light of the above-mentioned, we're pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Hard Would It Be For Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥2.4b, Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's CN¥65m in cash burn equates to about 2.7% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

So, Should We Worry About Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's Cash Burn?

On this analysis of Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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