share_log

Cedar Development Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002485) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

シーダー・ディベロップメント株式会社(SZSE:002485)の株価は、リスクを示唆している可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  04/17 20:02

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.5x in the Luxury industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Cedar Development Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002485) P/S ratio of 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002485 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024

How Has Cedar DevelopmentLtd Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at Cedar DevelopmentLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cedar DevelopmentLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cedar DevelopmentLtd?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Cedar DevelopmentLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.9%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 39% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Cedar DevelopmentLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Cedar DevelopmentLtd's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at Cedar DevelopmentLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Cedar DevelopmentLtd that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする