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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About GUOMAI Culture & Media Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301052)?

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 19 19:16

With its stock down 20% over the past month, it is easy to disregard GUOMAI Culture & Media (SZSE:301052). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on GUOMAI Culture & Media's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GUOMAI Culture & Media is:

8.0% = CN¥54m ÷ CN¥671m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

GUOMAI Culture & Media's Earnings Growth And 8.0% ROE

When you first look at it, GUOMAI Culture & Media's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 6.1% doesn't go unnoticed by us. Still, GUOMAI Culture & Media has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the low to flat growth in earnings could also be the result of this.

We then compared GUOMAI Culture & Media's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 2.3% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

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SZSE:301052 Past Earnings Growth April 19th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about GUOMAI Culture & Media's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is GUOMAI Culture & Media Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

GUOMAI Culture & Media's low three-year median payout ratio of 13%, (meaning the company retains87% of profits) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see higher growth than it has reported.

In addition, GUOMAI Culture & Media only recently started paying a dividend so the management must have decided the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that GUOMAI Culture & Media certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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