Perfect Medical Health Management Limited (HKG:1830) shares have had a horrible month, losing 28% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 39% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Perfect Medical Health Management's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Perfect Medical Health Management has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Perfect Medical Health Management.
Is There Some Growth For Perfect Medical Health Management?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Perfect Medical Health Management would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 36% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 17% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 32% per year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 15% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Perfect Medical Health Management is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Perfect Medical Health Management's P/E?
Following Perfect Medical Health Management's share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Perfect Medical Health Management's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Perfect Medical Health Management that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Perfect Medical Health Management. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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有了這些信息,我們發現有趣的是,Perfect Medical Health Management的交易市盈率與市場相當相似。顯然,一些股東對預測持懷疑態度,並一直在接受較低的銷售價格。
我們可以從完美醫療健康管理的市盈率中學到什麼?
在Perfect Medical Health Management股價暴跌之後,其市盈率現在維持在市場市盈率中位數上。通常,在做出投資決策時,我們謹慎行事,不要過多地考慮市盈率,儘管這可以揭示其他市場參與者對該公司的看法。
我們對Perfect Medical Health Management分析師預測的審查顯示,其優異的盈利前景對市盈率的貢獻不如我們預期的那麼大。當我們看到強勁的盈利前景和快於市場的增長速度時,我們假設潛在風險可能會給市盈率帶來壓力。至少價格下跌的風險似乎有所減弱,但投資者似乎認爲未來的收益可能會出現一些波動。