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Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002586) 25% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 20 20:40

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002586) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 38% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in China's Construction industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002586 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024

What Does Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 21%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 6.1% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group looks to be in line with the rest of the Construction industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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