GUOMAI Culture & Media Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301052) shares have had a horrible month, losing 30% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 40% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may still consider GUOMAI Culture & Media as a stock to avoid entirely with its 47.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for GUOMAI Culture & Media as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
SZSE:301052 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on GUOMAI Culture & Media.
How Is GUOMAI Culture & Media's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as GUOMAI Culture & Media's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 31% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 3.5% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 112% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 35% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that GUOMAI Culture & Media's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price drop, GUOMAI Culture & Media's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of GUOMAI Culture & Media's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for GUOMAI Culture & Media that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than GUOMAI Culture & Media. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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