We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Maxvision Technology's (SZSE:002990) Earnings
We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Maxvision Technology's (SZSE:002990) Earnings
Despite announcing strong earnings, Maxvision Technology Corp.'s (SZSE:002990) stock was sluggish. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.
尽管宣布了强劲的收益,但盛视科技公司's (SZSE: 002990) 股价低迷。我们的分析发现了一些我们认为市场可能会关注的令人担忧的因素。
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A Closer Look At Maxvision Technology's Earnings
仔细看看盛视科技的收益
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
用于衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时间内的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率为正(表明非现金利润达到一定水平)不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸质利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。
Over the twelve months to December 2023, Maxvision Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.35. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥110m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥198.2m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥110m, this year, indicates high risk.
在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,盛视科技的应计比率为0.35。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远少于其法定利润,这使我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为1.1亿元人民币,而上述利润为1.982亿元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年1.1亿元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。
Our Take On Maxvision Technology's Profit Performance
我们对盛视科技盈利表现的看法
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Maxvision Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Maxvision Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Maxvision Technology at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Maxvision Technology you should be mindful of and 1 of them is significant.
正如我们已经明确指出的那样,我们有点担心盛视科技没有用自由现金流来支持去年的利润。出于这个原因,我们认为盛视科技的法定利润可能不利于其潜在盈利能力,并可能给投资者留下过于积极的公司印象。一线希望是,尽管这不是一个完美的衡量标准,但其去年的每股收益增长确实非常出色。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑盛视科技目前面临的风险同样重要。一个很好的例子:我们发现了两个你应该注意的盛视科技警告信号,其中一个信号很重要。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Maxvision Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解盛视科技利润的性质。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。