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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Jiangsu NanFang Precision Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002553) As Shares Slide 30%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 22 19:54

The Jiangsu NanFang Precision Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002553) share price has softened a substantial 30% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 7.5% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, you may still consider Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 5.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002553 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 22nd 2024

How Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 44% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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