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Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's (SHSE:600883) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's (SHSE:600883) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

云南博盈科技工业有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600883)的稳健收益可能建立在基础薄弱的基础上
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 20:58

Yunnan Bowin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600883) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

云南博盈科技实业有限公司,Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:600883)的健康利润数字并没有让投资者感到意外。我们认为这是由于投资者将目光投向了法定利润之外并关注他们所看到的情况。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600883 Earnings and Revenue History April 23rd 2024
SHSE: 600883 2024 年 4 月 23 日的收益和收入历史记录

Zooming In On Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's Earnings

放大云南博盈科技实业有限公司的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.20. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥38m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥96.2m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥38m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,云南博盈科技实业有限公司的应计比率为0.20。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为3800万元人民币,而上述利润为9.62亿元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年3800万元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对云南博盈科技工业有限公司的资产负债表分析

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥5.2m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

该公司去年有不寻常的项目将利润提高了520万元人民币,这一事实可能在某种程度上可以解释其应计比率为何如此疲软。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。假设这些不寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,因此我们预计明年的利润将疲软(也就是说,在业务没有增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's Profit Performance

我们对云南博盈科技实业有限公司盈利表现的看法

Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd at this point in time. Be aware that Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

云南博赢科技工业有限公司的应计比率较低,但其利润确实受到不寻常项目的提振。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼云南博盈科技工业有限公司的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑云南博盈科技工业有限公司目前面临的风险同样重要。请注意,云南博盈科技实业有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了4个警告信号,其中一个不容忽视...

Our examination of Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对云南博盈科技实业有限公司的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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