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We Think That There Are More Issues For ChinaEtek Service & Technology (SZSE:301208) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 23 16:31

The subdued market reaction suggests that ChinaEtek Service & Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301208) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

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SZSE:301208 Earnings and Revenue History April 23rd 2024

A Closer Look At ChinaEtek Service & Technology's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

ChinaEtek Service & Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.56 for the year to March 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥136m despite its profit of CN¥139.0m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥75m a year ago though, so ChinaEtek Service & Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of ChinaEtek Service & Technology.

Our Take On ChinaEtek Service & Technology's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that ChinaEtek Service & Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that ChinaEtek Service & Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 9.7% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for ChinaEtek Service & Technology you should be mindful of and 1 of these bad boys is a bit concerning.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of ChinaEtek Service & Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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