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Nanjing Hanrui Cobalt Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300618) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Nanjing Hanrui Cobalt Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300618) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

南京寒锐钴业有限公司, Ltd.(深圳证券交易所代码:300618)走强但基本面似乎喜忧参半:该股有明确的方向吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 02:11

Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd (SZSE:300618) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 20% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's ROE today.

南京寒锐钴业有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:300618)在股票市场上表现良好,其股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了20%。但是,我们想知道该公司财务状况不稳定是否会对当前的股价势头产生任何不利影响。特别是,我们今天将关注南京寒锐钴业有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,南京寒瑞钴业有限公司的投资回报率为:

2.9% = CN¥155m ÷ CN¥5.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

2.9% = 1.55亿元人民币 ÷ 53亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.03元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.9% ROE

南京寒瑞钴业有限公司的收益增长和2.9%的投资回报率

It is hard to argue that Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 7.6%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 2.7% seen by Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很难说南京寒锐钴业有限公司的投资回报率本身就非常好。即使与7.6%的行业平均水平相比,投资回报率的数字也相当令人失望。因此,说南京寒锐钴业五年净收入下降2.7%可能是其投资回报率降低的结果,这可能没有错。但是,可能还有其他因素导致收益下降。例如-收益保留率低或资本配置不佳。

That being said, we compared Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 12% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将南京寒锐钴业的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期5年内以12%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:300618 Past Earnings Growth April 24th 2024
SZSE: 300618 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 24 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查南京汉瑞钴业相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

南京寒瑞钴业有限公司是否在有效利用其利润?

When we piece together Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's low three-year median payout ratio of 19% (where it is retaining 81% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

当我们计算出南京寒瑞钴业有限公司过去三年来最低的三年派息率中位数19%(保留了81%的利润)时,我们对缺乏增长感到困惑。低支出应意味着该公司保留了大部分收益,因此应该会出现一些增长。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Moreover, Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,南京寒瑞钴业有限公司已经派发股息六年了,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到,尽管收益一直在萎缩,但股东更喜欢持续的分红。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 4 risks we have identified for Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd.

总的来说,我们对南京寒瑞钴业有限公司的表现有点矛盾。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且还对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为南京寒瑞钴业有限公司确定的4种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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