The analysts covering Shandong Jinjing Science & Technology Stock Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600586) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.
Following the downgrade, the latest consensus from Shandong Jinjing Science & Technology StockLtd's three analysts is for revenues of CN¥8.3b in 2024, which would reflect a satisfactory 3.7% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to decrease 9.5% to CN¥0.29 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥9.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.57 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.
The consensus price target fell 14% to CN¥6.90, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Shandong Jinjing Science & Technology StockLtd's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 3.7% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 11% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 8.1% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Shandong Jinjing Science & Technology StockLtd.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Shandong Jinjing Science & Technology StockLtd. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Shandong Jinjing Science & Technology StockLtd.
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have estimates - from multiple Shandong Jinjing Science & Technology StockLtd analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
